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Afronomics data · Kenya · November 2026

The Kenya Poverty Premium

What a low-income Kenyan pays, or forgoes, for the same financial need, against the best option a better-off person can reach: borrowing, saving and sending money. Every figure is computed by code from a published source, named and dated on its line. Where we do not hold the data, the line says so.

KES 1,000 for 7 days

KES 52.00

on the M-PESA overdraft

KES 2.76 at the bank average lending rate of 14.4% (September 2026)

Old data: data/remittances/corridors.json is for 31 Mar 2025, 609 days before the end of November 2026. It is the latest we hold.

November 2026 file

Borrowing

A week's overdraft on the phone

KES 1,000 for 7 days

What a low-income borrower uses

M-PESA overdraft (Fuliza)

KES 52.00

271.14% a year

one-off 1% access fee plus the published daily fee for the balance band, excise included

Source: Safaricom, 15 Oct 2026 · data/kenya/mpesa_tariffs.json fuliza.access_fee_pct, fuliza.daily

What a better-off borrower is measured against

Bank loan, industry average

KES 2.76

14.4% a year

weighted average lending rate across commercial banks, charged for the same daysan average, not a product

Source: Central Bank of Kenya, September 2026 · data/kenya/rates.json bank_rates.rows[0].lending

The premium

KES 49.24

more paid · 256.74 percentage points a year

overdraft = amount × access fee % + daily band fee × days; bank = amount × average lending rate × days ÷ 365; premium = overdraft − bank

The bank figure is an average, not a loan anyone can take for a week; a bank loan needs time, a credit check and often security.

A month's mobile loan

KES 5,000 for 30 days

What a low-income borrower uses

Mobile loan, the lowest published charge we track

KES 450

109.5% a year

M-Shwari loan: the provider's published charge, over its 30-day term

Source: NCBA Bank with Safaricom, 5 Oct 2026 · data/kenya/mobile_loans.json rows[product=M-Shwari loan].pct

What a better-off borrower is measured against

Bank loan, industry average

KES 59.18

14.4% a year

weighted average lending rate across commercial banks, charged for the same daysan average, not a product

Source: Central Bank of Kenya, September 2026 · data/kenya/rates.json bank_rates.rows[0].lending

The premium

KES 391

more paid · 95.1 percentage points a year

mobile loan = amount × published charge % for its term; bank = amount × average lending rate × days ÷ 365; premium = mobile loan − bank

2 mobile loans held; the lowest charge is used, so the premium is the least a mobile borrower pays over the average.

Gap: not published

A SACCO loan

Not held: SACCO loan rates. We hold SACCO dividends and interest on deposits, not what SACCOs charge borrowers.

Would need: Loan rates published by SACCOs or by SASRA, read from the primary page and dated.

We leave this line empty rather than estimate it.

November 2026 file

Saving

A year's savings

KES 10,000 for a year, after 15% withholding tax

Where small savings usually sit

Bank savings account, industry average

KES 300

3% a year

weighted average savings rate across commercial banks, after taxan average, not a product

Source: Central Bank of Kenya, September 2026 · data/kenya/rates.json bank_rates.rows[0].savings

What a saver with KES 50,000 or more can reach

364-day Treasury bill

KES 767

7.67% a year

weighted average rate at the latest auction, after tax; the Central Bank's minimum is KES 50,000 face value

Source: Central Bank of Kenya, 2 Nov 2026 · data/kenya/tbill_auctions.json rows[tenor=364].weighted_avg_rate

The premium

KES 467

less earned · 4.67 percentage points a year

earnings = amount × gross yearly rate × (1 − 15% tax); premium = Treasury bill earnings − bank savings earnings

Shown beside this line, not part of the premium
Also shown, not part of the premiumAfter tax, a yearOn the exampleSource
Money market fund, median published yieldmiddle of the 5 funds whose yield we read, after tax8.86%KES 886each fund manager, 31 Oct 2026
Money market fund, highest published yieldZimele Fixed Income Fund (Savings Plan), after tax11.4%KES 1,140Zimele Asset Management, 31 Oct 2026

A saver with less than KES 50,000 cannot buy the bill. Money market funds are shown beside it; we do not hold their minimum deposits.

November 2026 file

Sending money

Sending money home to Kenya

USD 200 sent once, by the country it is sent from

Sent fromAverage serviceCheapest serviceThe premium
CanadaUSD 14.56 7.28%USD 4.34 2.17%USD 10.22 5.11 points
RwandaUSD 35.44 17.72%USD 8.32 4.16%USD 27.12 13.56 points
South AfricaUSD 20.90 10.45%USD 8.76 4.38%USD 12.14 6.07 points
TanzaniaUSD 116 58.17%USD 16.44 8.22%USD 99.90 49.95 points
United KingdomUSD 8.88 4.44%USD 3.14 1.57%USD 5.74 2.87 points
United StatesUSD 10.40 5.2%USD 0.54 0.27%USD 9.86 4.93 points

cost = USD 200 × cost % (fee plus exchange-rate margin); premium = average service cost − cheapest service cost

Cost is the fee plus the exchange-rate margin, as a share of the amount sent. The average is across the services the World Bank surveyed in each corridor; the cheapest is the lowest-cost one in the same survey. Corridors with few services surveyed (Rwanda, Tanzania) move more from one quarter to the next.

Source: World Bank, Remittance Prices Worldwide, 31 Mar 2025 · data/remittances/corridors.json corridors[src=CAN,dst=KEN].cheapest.cost_pct

November 2026 file

Protection

Gap: not published

Deposit cover: a bank saver against a SACCO saver

Not held: A dated, primary-source file of the deposit cover limit for bank deposits and the protection, if any, for SACCO deposits.

Would need: The Kenya Deposit Insurance Corporation's published cover limit and SASRA's or the law's statement on SACCO deposits, each read from the primary page.

We leave this line empty rather than estimate it.

Method

How the Premium is computed

Each line takes one need and one household example, and sets the option a low-income Kenyan typically uses beside the best option or benchmark a better-off person can reach. The premium is the difference in shillings (dollars for sending money) on that example, and in percentage points a year.

  • Borrowing. The M-PESA overdraft costs its one-off access fee plus the published daily fee for the balance band. A mobile loan costs the lowest published charge among the loans we track. Both are set against the Central Bank of Kenya’s weighted average lending rate, charged as simple interest for the same days. That average is a benchmark: nobody can borrow KES 1,000 for a week at it.
  • Saving. A year’s interest on the example in a bank savings account at the industry average, against the latest 364-day Treasury bill, both after 15% withholding tax. The bill needs at least KES 50,000. Money market fund yields are shown beside the line and are not part of it.
  • Sending money. The World Bank’s average cost of sending USD 200 to Kenya, across the services it surveyed in each corridor, against the cheapest service in the same survey.
  • Gaps. A SACCO loan rate and deposit cover for bank and SACCO savers are not in any file we hold, so those lines are published empty. They are filled only from a dated primary source.

Lines are not added together: they are different needs, in different currencies, on examples we chose. A new file is made at the start of each month from the data held that day; a month’s file is not changed afterwards except to correct an error, which is logged at /corrections. A figure is only as current as its source: the date on each line is the date of the figure, not of this file.

Information, not advice.

Files

Every month

November 2026 file made 1 Nov 2026, version 1.

Cite or reuse this data

Free to quote, chart and republish with the credit “Source: Afronomics, compiled from the Central Bank of Kenya, Safaricom, mobile lenders and the World Bank” and a link to this page.

Afronomics (2026). Kenya Poverty Premium, November 2026, compiled from the Central Bank of Kenya, Safaricom, mobile lenders and the World Bank. Retrieved 4 November 2026, from https://www.afronomicsfeed.com/data/poverty-premium

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