The Central Bank of Kenya offers KES 8bn of 91-day bills, KES 10bn of 182-day and KES 10bn of 364-day bills every week. What investors bid for each, as printed in the Bank’s result notices, shows a clear preference.

The last five auctions

Auction91-day bids / offer182-day364-day
7 Sep 2026428%198%22%
14 Sep370%130%130%
21 Sep291%100%94%
28 Sep222%128%112%
5 Oct225%191%106%

Every 91-day auction since the start of August drew at least 1.7 times the amount offered. The 364-day fell short of its offer twice in five weeks; on 7 September it drew KES 2.2bn of bids for KES 10bn.

Why (Analysis)

The extra time does not pay. On 5 October the 91-day cleared at 8.77% and the 364-day at 9.04%: 0.27 points more for locking money up four times as long. When the reward for waiting is that thin, investors keep their money short, where they can reinvest at a better rate if rates rise and get their cash back sooner.

Demand for the 91-day is also cooling: bids fell from KES 34.2bn on 7 September to KES 18.0bn on 5 October, while the rate barely moved (8.77% to 8.77%).

What to watch

  • Whether the one-year rate rises to fill the offer. The Treasury can accept fewer bids or pay more.
  • Whether 91-day demand keeps falling.

Every auction since 2011, with offers, bids and the notice each comes from, is free on the Kenya T-bill page, with a CSV download. A browser alert for each new result is on the alerts page.

Information, not advice.