AFRONOMICS INVESTMENT COMMITTEE PACK

African government rates, Kenya’s curve and where the shilling earns most

October 2026 · prepared 2 Oct 2026 for Sample committee. Compiled from central-bank auction results, the daily FX reference and fund managers’ published yields. Every figure carries its source.

Information, not advice. Figures as published by each source on the dates shown; Afronomics compiles and does not forecast. Sample pack, free to share.

1. Treasury bill rates, ten African markets

as of 2 Oct 2026
Market91-day1m1y182-day1m1y364-day1m1y364-day, 12 monthsLatest
Egypt
weighted average yield of accepted bids
24.56%+43−27025.51%+5−13225.67%+68−1829 Sept 2026
Ghana
weighted average interest-rate equivalent
4.68%−111−5836.37%−132−6029.83%−313−30728 Sept 2026
Kenya
weighted average rate of accepted bids
8.77%±0+868.89%−5+909.04%+1−495 Oct 2026
Malawi
average yield of allotted bids
12.00%±0−40014.50%−50−55016.00%±0−100029 Sept 2026
Mozambique
weighted average subscription rate
12.11%±0+2912.15%−4+2112.09%−5−411 Oct 2026
Nigeria
stop (issue) rate at the primary auction
15.50%−80+5015.80%−70+5015.89%−95−8923 Sept 2026
South Africa
average rate at which bills are allotted in the weekly auction
6.93%+13+97.52%+36+407.50%+27+5228 Sept 2026
Tanzania
weighted average yield of successful bids
3.39%−1−3425.29%+23−1286.29%−36+3023 Sept 2026
Uganda
money-market yield at the cut-off price
9.75%−25−17510.00%−25−26011.00%±0−4253 Sept 2026
Zambia
cut-off yield rate at the auction
8.50%−200−3009.10%−185−36510.00%−210−4501 Oct 2026

1m and 1y: change in basis points against the auction closest to one month and one year earlier. Rate measures differ by central bank (shown under each market) and are compared as published.

Real yields on one-year bills

Market364-dayInflationReal
Egypt25.67%14.1% 2025+11.60
Mozambique12.09%4.4% 2025+7.72
Uganda11.00%3.6% 2025+7.42
Kenya9.04%4.1% 2025+4.97
South Africa7.50%3.2% 2025+4.29
Tanzania6.29%3.3% 2025+2.96
Zambia10.00%13.9% 2025−3.91
Ghana9.83%14.2% 2025−4.37
Nigeria15.89%23.0% 2025−7.12
Malawi16.00%28.4% 2025−12.37

Latest 364-day rate less the latest annual CPI inflation (World Bank, year shown).

Demand at auctions

MarketLast 90dPrior 90dBids against
Nigeria5.06×3.11×amount offered
Uganda2.31×1.88×amount offered
Egypt2.29×2.43×amount offered
Tanzania2.08×2.31×amount offered
Zambia1.81×1.19×amount offered
Kenya1.57×1.17×amount offered
Ghana1.27×1.03×amount accepted
Malawi1.01×1.00×amount accepted
Mozambique0.98×0.96×amount offered

Median auction: bids received as a multiple of the amount offered (or accepted where offered is not published).

2. Kenya: the government yield curve

Central Bank of Kenya auction results
8%9%10%11%12%13%14%15%16%0y2y5y10y15y20y25y91-day bill 8.769% (2026-10-05)182-day bill 8.886% (2026-10-05)364-day bill 9.040% (2026-10-05)FXD1/2022/010 12.782% (2026-07-13)FXD1/2012/020 12.457% (2026-05-11)FXD1/2018/015 12.652% (2025-10-20)FXD3/2019/015 12.734% (2026-10-05)FXD1/2020/015 13.312% (2026-06-15)IFB1/2019/016 12.196% (2026-08-17)FXD1/2022/015 13.339% (2025-11-10)FXD1/2018/020 13.989% (2026-06-29)FXD1/2019/020 13.602% (2026-10-05)IFB1/2021/018 12.688% (2026-08-17)SDB1/2011/030 13.694% (2026-09-07)FXD1/2021/020 14.339% (2026-07-13)IFB1/2021/021 13.052% (2026-08-17)FXD1/2018/025 14.230% (2026-06-15)FXD1/2021/025 14.864% (2026-06-29)FXD1/2022/025 14.443% (2026-07-27)FXD1/2026/030 14.236% (2026-09-21)

Bills at 91, 182 and 364 days (violet) and the most recent auction of each bond in the last twelve months (navy), placed at remaining life. Switches and buybacks excluded.

Bond auctions in the last 30 days

IssueRateCouponAccepted KESBid-to-coverValue date
FXD1/2019/020 reopening13.602%12.87%28.9bn1.59×5 Oct 2026
FXD3/2019/015 reopening12.734%12.34%28.6bn1.21×5 Oct 2026
FXD1/2019/020 reopening13.611%12.87%33.5bn1.31×21 Sept 2026
FXD1/2026/030 reopening14.236%12.50%16.7bn2.25×21 Sept 2026
FXD3/2019/015 reopening12.763%12.34%41.1bn1.39×7 Sept 2026
SDB1/2011/030 reopening13.694%12.00%6.6bn1.68×7 Sept 2026

3. Kenya: where the shilling earns most

after withholding tax
6.91%Bank deposit rate, industry average, 2026-08
14.34%Bank lending rate, industry average
−83 bpsDeposit rate change, 12 months
14.92%Highest after-tax return: Etica Money Market Fund (KES)
OptionPublishedAfter taxMoney tied upAs of
Etica Money Market Fund (KES)
Etica Capital
17.55%14.92%none; usually 2 to 3 days to withdraw2026-10-02
Treasury bond FXD1/2022/025
Central Bank of Kenya
14.44%13.00%21.2 years to maturity2026-07-27
Treasury bond FXD1/2021/020
Central Bank of Kenya
14.34%12.91%15.0 years to maturity2026-07-13
Infrastructure bond IFB1/2019/016
Central Bank of Kenya
12.20%12.20%9.1 years to maturity2026-08-17
Zimele Fixed Income Fund (Savings Plan)
Zimele Asset Management
13.41%11.40%none; usually 2 to 3 days to withdraw2026-10-02
Treasury bond FXD1/2022/010
Central Bank of Kenya
12.78%10.86%5.8 years to maturity2026-07-13
Treasury bond FXD1/2012/020
Central Bank of Kenya
12.46%10.59%6.5 years to maturity2026-05-11
Madison Money Market Fund
Madison Investment Managers
10.64%9.04%none; usually 2 to 3 days to withdraw2026-10-02
Kasha Money Market Fund
Orient Asset Managers
10.41%8.85%none; usually 2 to 3 days to withdraw2026-10-02
364-day Treasury bill
Central Bank of Kenya
9.04%7.68%364 days2026-10-05
182-day Treasury bill
Central Bank of Kenya
8.89%7.55%182 days2026-10-05
91-day Treasury bill
Central Bank of Kenya
8.77%7.45%91 days2026-10-05
Bank fixed deposit, industry average
Central Bank of Kenya
6.91%5.87%by agreement, typically 3 to 12 months2026-08
Bank savings account, industry average
Central Bank of Kenya
3.54%3.01%none2026-08

Withholding tax on interest for residents: 15% on bills, deposits and fund returns; 10% on bonds of ten years or more, none on infrastructure bonds. Fund yields are managers’ published effective annual yields. Bank figures are Central Bank of Kenya industry averages.

4. Currencies and the month ahead

US dollar reference, 2 Oct 2026

Against the dollar, one month

CurrencyNowA month agoMove
Kenya shilling KES129.63129.68+0.04%
Nigerian naira NGN1327.681327.24−0.03%
South African rand ZAR16.665716.4069−1.55%
Ghanaian cedi GHS11.731411.7012−0.26%
Egyptian pound EGP52.300652.0920−0.40%
Ugandan shilling UGX3929.633830.61−2.52%
Tanzanian shilling TZS2648.372615.17−1.25%
Zambian kwacha ZMW19.653919.5612−0.47%
Malawian kwacha MWK1743.461747.53+0.23%
Mozambican metical MZN63.875863.7815−0.15%
Rwandan franc RWF1475.491476.65+0.08%
Ethiopian birr ETB162.73162.45−0.17%
West African CFA franc XOF582.01578.23−0.65%
Moroccan dirham MAD9.73799.6647−0.75%

Units per US dollar, daily mid-market reference archived by Afronomics. Positive move means the currency strengthened.

Next auction results expected

MarketExpectedRhythm
Ghana5 Oct 2026every 7 days · last 28 Sept
South Africa5 Oct 2026every 7 days · last 28 Sept
Egypt6 Oct 2026every 7 days · last 29 Sept
Malawi6 Oct 2026every 7 days · last 29 Sept
Nigeria7 Oct 2026every 14 days · last 23 Sept
Tanzania7 Oct 2026every 14 days · last 23 Sept
Mozambique8 Oct 2026every 7 days · last 1 Oct
Kenya12 Oct 2026every 7 days · last 5 Oct
Uganda15 Oct 2026every 14 days · last 3 Sept
Zambia15 Oct 2026every 14 days · last 1 Oct

From the most common gap between each market’s last twelve results; central banks publish official calendars and move dates around holidays.